Month: November 2020

Election violations are always occurring, roughly comparable to traffic violations. The question with both is, “How much and how important?” I’ve seen minor violations at polling places where I’ve voted, both deliberate flaunting of the laws and inadvertent violations through carelessness or ignorance. In no cases did those violations affect the outcomes of the elections. The deliberate flaunting could have contributed to long-range erosion of respect for the laws, but the same could be said for traffic violations–and I am very sure that traffic violations have not increased since I began driving in 1971, so the likelihood is faint.

The president’s legal team, represented by Rudy Giuliani and Mrs. Sidney Powell, are alleging that, to use Tucker Carlson’s words, “the single greatest crime in American history” took place during this recent presidential election. Tucker has complained that they have offered no evidence, and that has gotten him roasted by partisans who point out that Powell has an impeccable record.

As much as I hope that something can keep Harris from becoming president, I am highly skeptical of Powell’s claims.

First, she offers no proof; she just claims that it’s on the way. If she had the kind of evidence of which she boasts, it would be a small matter to list a few things. I’ve seen a whistle blower affidavit that said little more than that the irregularities of our vote counting were eerily similar to what he claims to have seen in Venezuela years ago. That’s very flimsy. Why hasn’t she produced something more substantial?

Second, she’s alleging something that is unbelievably large. It reminds me of the allegations that the moon landing was faked–as though hundreds of participants from the astronauts to the film crews all lied in unison and kept the secret with no leaks for fifty years.

Third, things just don’t add up. The Dims were claiming they’d have a landslide. Instead, the popular vote was a squeaker. They really needed the Senate if they were to implement their revolution, pack the SCOTUS, etc., and their chance of getting that is very thin. The results of the House races were very disappointing to them. Is it really that hard to flip a few more votes in machines being controlled from somebody’s laptop in Dominion Voting System’s offices? Powell is saying that Trump’s votes were so overwhelming, it crashed the nefarious software and the count had to be stopped until it could be remedied. Gimme a honkin’ break!

With all that said, I also observe that a lot of serious fraud was observed and a lot of gaslighting from the mainstream media poured forth in response. It is claimed now that Harris/Biden got more votes than Obama did in 2008. That’s preposterous because nobody was excited over Biden, but all the nation was ga-ga over ushering in a nonwhite. Some of the most damning evidence lies in the actual numbers. Engineers and other mathematicians have demonstrated to one another’s satisfaction that many numbers and statistics are falling out in impossible distributions, which indicates fraud.

We shall see.

I’ve always enjoyed the slogan “Often wrong, never in doubt.” I’ve become more mellow in my dotage, but I fully identify with the urge to be dogmatic. Likewise, though, I’m pretty reliable when it comes time to admit a mistake.

Four years ago I was nearly alone among my associates in thinking that Trump would win. I saw that the conventional wisdom said that he didn’t have a chance, but I also saw his rallies on YouTube and realized that the conventional wisdom was responding to a media blackout. “There’s more going on than they are admitting,” I said.

I didn’t see that this time. Yes, the rallies were still there, but everybody knew it now. I didn’t perceive any stealth movement afoot. And the polls showed a seven-point spread in the popular vote.

After a hard day’s work, it didn’t take long for me to tire of watching the election returns last night. I did wake up at 2am and took a few minutes to see how things played out. Contrary to my expectations, Trump has done well and might even win. According to the polls, he should have gone down in flames.

I saw a headline this morning: ‘Election Day asteroid’ predicted to come close to Earth likely has passed already, astronomer says. My sentiments exactly, but it would have fit better four years ago.

I think that Trump has mishandled his presidency pretty badly. For the first two years his party had the majority in both houses of Congress. We radicals watched in tears while he frittered it all away, never implementing the agenda he ran on, except for appointing Gorsuch and Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court. Then the reactionaries handed him his head in the midterm elections and he lost the House. And we just barely missed losing the Senate yesterday. (Thank you, Antifa and BLM!)

One might say that gaining three seats in the SCOTUS is hardly “frittering away,” and I’d be willing to concede the point on the basis of lexicography, but the point that has to be made (and nearly no one is making it) is that Trump’s original issue, immigration, is paramount. As a vivid example, look at this election. If Harris had won (and she still may) and the Senate had flipped, of what use would the conservative majority be in the SCOTUS? You can bet your sweet bippy that those revolutionaries wouldn’t be tweeting and playing golf while their clock was ticking; they’d have had the heavy equipment roaring and we’d be seeing, in Obama’s words, the fundamental transformation of the United States. Specifically, third-world immigration would achieve record levels, and immigration determines who can vote. Immigration, therefore, determines the disposition of every other issue. Trump could have made a massive interruption in America’s demographic suicide. He didn’t. How he won Texas yesterday is a mystery to me–but it won’t happen again with the trends we’re seeing.

A tipping point, by definition, means a point of no return. All of my adult life I have faced “the most important election ever.” It’s always been hype. Indeed, elections have consequences and issues can be very important to a lot of people’s lives. Our society has been declining and we have averted disasters despite some bad election outcomes. But we’ve never been at a tipping point until now.

What’s left of the election takes place tomorrow. (A good chunk of it is past, thanks to “early voting,” a measure I find revolting.) Will Trump win again in a heroic comeback against all odds as he did in 2016? I think not.

Numbers are of the essence. Although Trump and his supporters put on a good show, they still only get one vote apiece. I am very impressed by the size and fervor of the rallies, but 50,000 people at a rally cannot move the needle in a state’s electoral college. Does the huge crowd indicate that a huger following is coming behind them? Of course it does. There are 330 million people in the USA, and more than half of the votes in 2016 went to Clinton–but she still lost.

Numbers are of the essence. In 2016 we chortled over how the polls were wrong, the polls were fake, the polls showed Crooked Hillary with a 92% probability of beating Trump, ha, ha, ha. In fact, though, the polls were very accurate. They indicated that her share of the popular vote was 3.3% higher than Trump’s. As it turned out, she led by 2.1%. Unfortunately for her, that 2.1% lived in red states, and Trump won the electoral college. I think that the 1.2% error in polling shows a high level of accuracy. As of this morning, Biden is ahead by 7.6%. I know of no numbers anywhere that give me hope.

Pundits like Scott Adams and James Woods believe that the numbers are faked by mendacious researchers and Trump supporters are lying to the pollsters. I’m not close to the polling industry, so I can’t speak as an insider. I do know that “the establishment” took a holy vow in 2016 never to let this happen again and they’ve made good on their promise as they’ve had opportunity. For four years I’ve never heard one good thing about Trump in the mass media–not one! I see lies heaped upon lies in every column by every hate-filled commentator (e.g., “very fine people,” ” ripped from their mothers’ arms and locked in cages,” et al.), so I’m fully aware that nothing is beneath them. But I still don’t think that all of the pollsters are faking their data, knowing that the final results would make them look incompetent. Instead, I believe that the pro-Trump analysts are engaged in wishful thinking.

In 2016 Trump could make any promise he wished. Now such promises ring hollow. Ted Cruz warned us of this, saying that Trump was a pathological liar who could make three different, contradictory promises in one day and believe all three, and who was going to break every promise he was making during the campaign. Despite some exceptions, Cruz was quite right, but Trump’s base still doesn’t see it. They’re holding signs at rallies: “Promises Kept.”

Trump won some battleground states with those promises. An unlikely coalition of different interests saw in Trump a chance to return to sanity and make America great again. Today a lot of those people are either deceased or disillusioned.

I’ve been wrong before and I don’t claim to be deeply studied in this campaign’s data, so my opinions are available here free of charge. I just wanted to go on record: we are doomed.