It’s a good thing that nobody reads what I write here. That headline would really torque a lot of people off.
There are three opinions about where we stand now, three days before D-Day:
- Trump’s gonna win
- Trump’s gonna lose
- It’s too close to call
The variety of opinions shows that they aren’t based on objective data. People are guessing. So am I.
Against my position one might argue:
- Trump’s stunts are going over well (McDonald’s, the garbage truck, Joe Rogan, etc.)
- Harris is even more repulsive than Hillary was.
- A lot of people are waking up to the wokeism menace and migrant disaster.
I would reply, though, that the elderly have recognized wokeism easily. They voted for Trump before. Now they’re dead. If enough new converts are minted to replace them, that will only leave us where we were in 2020. And although Harris is profoundly, deeply repulsive, lefty voters know that she would be surrounded by others who do have a brain, so her incompetence would be reined in from doing much damage. (Notice how Dotage Joe’s absence from the presidency has produced no noticeable change in anything.)
I’ve heard wide-eyed chirpings about how Trump is gaining black voters. This won’t change anything. He had a lot of black voters before. Suppose he got 5% more this time. Blacks are only 12% of the population. What’s 5% of 12%? it’s 6/10ths of 1%. And guess what? Most blacks live in red states, so their votes neither help nor hurt the candidate. In Tennessee the blacks could vote 100% for the Dim candidate without gaining one electoral vote. The swing states are all that matter, and no matter how many blacks vote Republican, they are sure to be a tiny percentage of a small percentage of the voters.
The mainstream media is becoming more vicious by the day and I expect them to have some effect on swing voters. Trump/Vance have missed a lot of opportunities to “play their hand” to greater advantage. Their followers are devoted and excited. I just don’t think that there are enough of them.
This is easy for me to write. I can’t lose. If Trump loses, I look wise and keen. If he wins, I get Trump for president.