In my last post I explained why I thought that Trump would lose. As it has turned out, he won bigly instead.
The English-speaking world is swarming presently with smart people’s attempts to explain this victory. That makes me feel a little better. Since none of them agree, it means that all but one of them are wrong, and, entre nous, I have my doubts about that remaining one.
Personally I think that it came down to two things. First, the economy and third-world migration had a broad impact on people’s dissatisfaction. Second, Harris’s profound stupidity and repulsiveness were coupled with her identity as 50% of the team who caused this dissatisfaction.
I obviously misjudged these factors when I predicted a Trump loss. I overlooked the last-mentioned factor, that voters tend to reject the party in power when things are looking bad. I also wasn’t looking too much at the economy, which means the price of eggs. Also, I probably overestimated the attrition from earlier Trumpsters’ disappointment with his first tour of duty. Be they as disappointed as I thought, they, like me, had little choice but to pull the lever once again.
The victory was clear enough to stifle any challenges, but it was still close enough to 50-50 to leave me thinking that it’s far too early to be singing “Happy Days Are Here Again.” Trump’s recent appointment of Tom Homan as border czar (a title without definitions) is a good sign.
Perhaps the lawfare they’ve waged against him and the assassination attempts have beaten some resolve into him.